GETHER: A Generative Emission Temporal Hybrid Explainable Regression Framework
Ekaagra
Gupta
Patent under examination, 2026
Developed an end-to-end temporal deep learning pipeline for Air Quality Index (AQI) forecasting using a stacked LSTM architecture (128→64 units) with engineered lag and rolling-statistic features, achieving improved predictive performance over Linear Regression and Random Forest baselines. Integrated a causal discovery module leveraging Granger causality and dynamic causal graphs to uncover temporal relationships between key pollutants (PM2.5, NO₂, and SO₂) and AQI fluctuations. Enhanced model transparency through a SHAP-based explainability framework that quantified global feature importance and interpreted individual predictions. Additionally, designed a counterfactual policy simulation module to estimate AQI changes under hypothetical emission-reduction scenarios, and deployed the complete system through an interactive Streamlit dashboard for real-time analysis and decision support.